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09/08/2025

DIVO Commentary August 2025

COMMENTARY The equity market advanced again in August, with the S&P 500 reaching fresh record highs as resilient economic data and corporate earnings continued to give investors confidence. Inflation data showed a modest uptick in Consumer Price Index (CPI), but markets largely took it in stride, viewing the trend as consistent with the Federal Reserve’s gradual path toward easing rates later this year, potentially as early as September. Gains broadened modestly beyond mega-cap tech, though leadership remained narrow. Volatility, while off its lows, stayed relatively muted as investors maintained a constructive outlook, starting the month elevated before gradually easing.
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09/09/2025

Navigating the Highs: August Momentum Meets September’s Market Crosswinds

Market and Economic Update - Strong earnings and Fed optimism lifted stocks, but autumn may bring seasonal volatility Stock markets reached new record highs in August, and bonds also helped investor portfolios. This happened even though there were concerns about tariffs, the Federal Reserve (Fed), and technology companies. Early in the month, new U.S. tariffs started affecting most major trading partners after a 90-day waiting period ended. Later, a federal court ruled that these “reciprocal tariffs” are illegal, which could lead to a Supreme Court case. Markets dropped in the middle of the month because investors worried the Fed might keep interest rates high to fight inflation. Recent inflation reports showed that companies are starting to charge consumers more because of tariff costs. But markets recovered quickly thanks to better-than-expected company earnings and growing confidence that the Fed will lower rates in September.
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