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12/18/2023

How Corporate Profits and Dividends Affect Investor Returns

The stock market has been supported by a healthier-than-expected economy this year, generating returns that have helped many portfolios to partially recover from last year’s bear market. Investors now hope these growth trends will translate into stronger corporate earnings since, in the long run, markets tend to follow the same trajectory as profits. With the future of the economy still uncertain, what signs are there that companies might begin to see improved profitability? The third quarter earnings season is nearly wrapped up with almost all S&P 500 companies reporting their results. This is likely to be the first quarter of positive growth in a year, a notable inflection point that mirrors the surprising stability of the underlying economy. Consensus Wall Street estimates are for earnings to be flat this year at about $217 per share but to then rebound in 2024 by 11%. While this is somewhat at odds with economic forecasts for slowing growth in the coming quarters, it’s safe to say that any acceleration in earnings would be welcomed by investors.
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12/20/2023

2024 Investment Outlook: Four Investment Themes

The turn of the calendar is always a time of mixed emotions as we look back on the year that has passed, both its challenges and rewards, and begin to focus on the year ahead. 2023 was a year of ups and downs but after a rough patch in the autumn, equity markets rebounded and several sectors are projected to end the year with double digit returns.
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01/18/2024

BLOK-Chain Monthly January 2024

Not surprisingly, Spot Bitcoin ETFs were recently approved in January and we expect bitcoin price to go higher with tremendous fanfare and volatility. While Spot ETFs will increase liquidity and open the door to institutional ownership, it may actually increase volatility and draw more trading on both the long and short sides.
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