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11/17/2025

DIVO Commentary October 2025

October extended the market’s late-year momentum as the S&P 500 posted another monthly gain despite heightened volatility from an ongoing government shutdown and renewed trade tensions with China. Investor sentiment remained resilient, with equities rebounding quickly from mid-month declines as concerns over tariffs and political uncertainty eased. The Federal Reserve delivered a second consecutive 0.25% rate cut, lowering the target range to 3.75%–4.00% while maintaining a data-dependent stance. Inflation hovered near 3%, labor data softened modestly, and earnings season exceeded expectations—particularly in mega-cap technology and select cyclical sectors. With monetary policy easing and economic data cooling, investors appear cautiously optimistic heading into year-end, balancing hopes for a soft landing against the risks of slower growth and persistent inflation pressures.
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